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Since we first highlighted the datathere has been a great deal of attention paid to the post-election divergence between the so-called soft sentiment data in the US, and the hard quantifiable data. Morgan Stanley's chief equity and rates strategists note "the divergence is stunning. Upside surprises appear to be completely driven by the soft data while hard data are simply coming in about as expected.
This was underscored by the fact the Fed made little revision to its economic forecasts at the March FOMC meeting. Essentially, the hard data are unfolding in line with the Fed's outlook.
There is a Record Gap Between the Strength of 'Hard' and 'Soft' US Macro Data. Morgan Stanley offers an additional compelling take on capturing this hard versus soft divergence.
The difference is larger than usual and is being driven by the fact that the New York Fed incorporates soft data into its tracking attempting to tie it econometrically to GDP, a very hard thing to do especially in real-time.
Our method translates the incoming hard data into its GDP equivalent. Will the hard and soft data reconcile, and in what direction? Optically, a 2Q GDP bounce back would perhaps be taken by markets as the hard data correcting to the soft data—in other words, risk appetite may find renewed inspiration as positive hard data unfolds. Moreover, we do expect that the breadth of the 2Q rebound in hard data will be fairly limited, with a swing in consumption as the main driver of the expected 2Q upside, followed by a slightly better net trade and inventory profile.
As a consequence, we would not necessarily expect 'hard data' surprise indices to start racing higher if the factors behind the 2Q growth rebound remain narrowly confined to a few sectors as we expect. They beat me to it. The real traders on here already use SW. That's a coincidence, both of you have been on ZH for just over 8 weeks. There is so much crap on here who cares.
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I just look at the analysts and not the dip-rods who post on here. But they did come from Goldman so I am always keeping my eye on them too. But EVERYONE knows and it is worldwide generally acknowledged that Prechter is the King Of Elliott Wave. Have you been following them?
They lost their reputation in the late 90s when they went real bearsih way too early. Kind of like ZH has done but ZH has not gone as far as EWI did. Shepwave is part of EWI somehow. I just can't figure out what the relationship is. But the analysis from SW is on target. See their past calls for proof. You obviously have no idea what you are talking about.
Were you even alive in the 90's? They blew it by going bearish and predicting a big crash. That is why one really has to weed out the people when to day trade stock based on chart patterns ZH who have no clue and those of us who have been in the markets for decades and know a thing or two.
I am amazed that wisehiney said this so I am copying and pasting binary options saransk here because I truly can't believe how stupid this comment is. ShepWave SPECIAL Update for Wednesday. GOLD, GLD, SLV, OIL, AAPL APPLE. SPECIAL Update for Wednesday.
Note the importance of the indexes at this time. The metals and oil do have a relationship with equities. That is just one reason why--regardless of what you prefer to trade or invest in--you should stay informed with the important technicals we are seeing in the various markets.
This will have the important short to mid term signals and analysis for cattle market inn tavistock devon. Note that we have been locking in a lot of profits on the mobile stock trader apk and bearish sides lately.
Most people who comment on this board do not even know what bullish and bearish mean.
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He is just one. ZH is not even an analysis site. It is a news site with hype at that. Granted good news and I like the slant.
At the end of the day it is a hitsmill.
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How can a person work realizing that whatever he produces is just recycleable waste, not used by anyone. Wall Street can only make money while they float the casino and get lemmings to keep putting their chips on the green felt. James Gorman's daughter just spotify video in Morgue Stanley, suffers from "Diarrhea of The Cranium". Here's our Cookie Policy. How to report offensive comments. Home Contributors Newsletter Donate More Store ZH-TShirt Glossary Archive Forexlive usd/jpy RSS.
INTRoDuCiNG ReBu, THe WORLD'S FiRST RoBoT CeO Mar 28, 9: There is a Record Gap Between the Strength of 'Hard' and 'Soft' US Macro Data Simply put, the hard data on the economy is still looking far too soft.
Morgan Stanley March FOMC New York Fed Federal Reserve Volatility Reality Federal Reserve Bank. Printer-friendly version Mar 28, 9: Comment viewing options Flat list - collapsed Flat list - expanded Threaded list - collapsed Threaded list - expanded. Date - newest first Date - oldest first. Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes. PoasterToaster not verified Mar 28, 9: Troy Ounce knukles Mar 28, 9: What is the difference between Brigitte Bardot and a trapeze artist?
The trapeze artist performed a cunning stunt. StevieTexie PoasterToaster Mar 28, 9: Jim in MN PoasterToaster Mar 28, 9: OckhamsRazr Mar 28, 9: Why does ZH continue to publish this? The recommendations from ShepWave have been stellar. Thanks for at least one good analyst ZH. StevieTexie OckhamsRazr Mar 28, 9: DavidC StevieTexie Mar 28, 9: ErikE DavidC Mar 28, moving average strategy forex pdf You merryweather stock after last heist need to wake up and see that shepwave, morgan stanley and all the rest follow ZH.
Why go around your elbow to get to your ass? ErikE wisehiney Mar 28, 9: Why not go right to the infallible source of the root of the perfected wisdom? Irvingm wisehiney Mar 28, 9: Oh, so there are bullish elliott waves and bearish elliott waves? Irvingm wisehiney Mar 28, SW has a relationship of somekind with them but their analysis is their own and is solid. Irvingm Irvingm Mar 28, Galanteed not verified Irvingm Mar 28, Galanteed not verified Galanteed Mar 28, Special note for OIL traders.
The markets are heating up. TIME TO TURN OFF THE CNBC.
Nurse Ratchet Irvingm Mar 28, Milk from the food stamp tit is running low, pumping needed. The party won't end until they want it to. Atomizer Mar 28, 9: Morgan Stanley ad, insest is the best, put your daughter to the test. Yen Cross Mar 28, 9: I would observe no surprise here for performance of a corrupt manipulated marketplace.
Create new account Request new password. To prevent automated spam submissions leave this field empty. Zero Hedge Reads Acting Man Alt-Market Benzinga Boom Bust Blog Capitalist Exploits China Financial Markets Chris Martenson's Blog Contrary Investor Daneric's Elliott Waves Dr. New Comments And the Dindu's think it was Jubal Early. Put that rag headed yahoo DirtySanchez. It's odd that you guys are virgule. Oh no, surely you can just do oldguyonBMXbike.
If under normal protocol the Hope Copy. When the panic gets going, no techpriest.
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